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West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will end up with 66.7%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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