Washington, D.C.: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead
The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 86.6% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., while Trump will win 13.4%.
Putting the results in context
Single models may contain substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 88.7% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.