DeSart model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 91.9% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., whereas Trump will end up with 8.1%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they may include large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 88.7% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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