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Crosstab model in Washington: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 58.6% for Clinton, and 41.4% for Trump in Washington. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to collect 58.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 59.0% of the two-party vote in Washington. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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