Virginia: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 54.4% for Clinton, and 45.6% for Trump in Virginia. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to collect only 54.3% of the vote.

Historically, Virginia has been a battleground state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to secure its electoral college votes. This is why forecasts here are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may include substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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