FOX 5/Opinion Savvy released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Georgia were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
FOX 5/Opinion Savvy poll results
According to the results, 46.0% of participants would vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 50.0% are going to vote for businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from October 20 to October 20. A total of 570 likely voters responded. The sampling error is +/-4.1 percentage points, which means that the poll results for the candidates of both parties do not differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Single polls may include large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
For the following comparison, we translate the candidates' raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The corresponding figures are 47.9% for Clinton and 52.1% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
An average of recent polls in Georgia sees Trump at 52.3% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.2 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the FOX 5/Opinion Savvy poll. This margin is within the poll's margin of error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.
The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote in Georgia. This means that Polly's prediction is 0.1 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore in line with the poll's margin of error.