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South Carolina: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead


The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 46.8% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, whereas Trump will end up with 53.2%. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was still predicted to garner 53.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often contain substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in South Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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