Hit enter after type your search item

Crosstab model in Pennsylvania: Clinton is in the lead

/
/
/
26 Views

The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 53.4% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, whereas Trump will end up with 46.6%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar