Oklahoma: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.7% for Clinton, and 64.3% for Trump in Oklahoma.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.