Crosstab model in Ohio: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 49.3% for Clinton, and 50.7% for Trump in Ohio.

Historically, Ohio has been a battleground state, in which neither of the two major parties has had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. This is why predictions in this state are of particular interest.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they often incorporate large biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 49.3% of the two-party vote in Ohio. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Ohio.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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