Crosstab model in North Dakota: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 37.8% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, whereas Trump will win 62.2%. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was predicted to gain 61.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 2.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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