Results of a new poll conducted by Moore Info. (R) were distributed. The poll asked respondents from Alaska for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
Moore Info. (R) poll results
The results show that 34.0% of interviewees would cast a ballot for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 37.0% would cast a ballot for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from October 5 to October 6 among 500 likely voters.
Putting the results in context
Single polls can incorporate large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, one can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 47.9% for Clinton and 52.1% for Trump.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.8% of the two-party vote in Alaska. That is, Polly's prediction is 4.7 points above his polling numbers.