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Crosstab model in Minnesota: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 54.9% for Clinton, and 45.1% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was predicted to achieve 44.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Minnesota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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