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Crosstab model in Michigan: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 54.2% for Clinton, and 45.8% for Trump in Michigan. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to win only 54.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, as they often contain large biases. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Michigan. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Michigan.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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