Crosstab model in Louisiana: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 41.2% for Clinton, and 58.8% for Trump in Louisiana.
Putting the results in context
Single models can contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Louisiana.