Landmark Communications published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Georgia were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
Landmark Communications poll results
Of those who replied, 43.0% said that they intend to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 47.0% said that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from October 20 to October 20, among a random sample of 600 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-4.0 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.
Putting the results in context
Single polls should be regarded with caution, since they can contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, one should consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
For the following analysis, we convert Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 47.8% for Clinton and 52.2% for Trump.
Results in comparison to other polls
Looking at an average of Georgia polls, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 52.2%. Relative to his numbers in the Landmark Communications poll Trump's poll average is 0 percentage points better. This margin is within the poll's sampling error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.
The poll in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote in Georgia. That is, the combined PollyVote is 0.2 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error shows that this deviation is insignificant.