Kentucky: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 61.9% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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