Kansas: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 42.2% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will end up with 57.8%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.