Jerome model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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