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Issues and Leaders model: Clinton is in the lead

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The Issues and Leaders model enters the index models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 51.5% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 48.5%.

Putting the results in context

Individual index models often contain large biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other index models

Clinton can currently count on 53.1% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent index models. Relative to numbers in the Issues and Leaders index model Clinton's index model average is 1.6 percentage points higher.

The Issues and Leaders model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Issues and Leaders model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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