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Indiana: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 43.8% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, whereas Trump will win 56.2%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to collect 44.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Indiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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