Idaho: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 36.8% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, whereas Trump will win 63.3%. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was still predicted to achieve 63.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, because they may include large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 64.9% of the two-party vote in Idaho. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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