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DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will end up with 29.9%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 70.3% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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