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Georgia: Virtual tie between Trump and Clinton in new Atlanta Journal poll

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Atlanta Journal released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Georgia were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

Atlanta Journal poll results
42

Clinton

44

Trump

The results show that 42.0% of respondents intend to give their vote to former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 44.0% plan to vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted between October 17 and October 20. The sample size was 839 likely voters. Given the poll's sampling error of +/-4.3 percentage points, the results reflect a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. As a result, don't rely too much on the results of an individual poll. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, we translate them into two-party vote shares. The corresponding figures are 48.8% for Clinton and 51.2% for Trump. On May 12 Clinton obtained only 47.7% in the Atlanta Journal poll and Trump obtained 52.3%.

Comparison to other polls

Looking at an average of Georgia polls, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 52.3%. This value is 1.1 percentage points higher than his respective numbers in the Atlanta Journal poll. This difference is within the poll's error margin, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote in Georgia. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 0.8 points above his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error shows that this difference is insignificant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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