Georgia: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 48.5% for Clinton, and 51.5% for Trump in Georgia. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was still predicted to obtain 51.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, as they may incorporate substantial biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote in Georgia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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