DeSart & Holbrook model in California: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 65.5% of the two-party vote share in California, while Trump will win 34.5%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, because they may include substantial errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.