Wisconsin: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead
The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 53.2% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, while Trump will win 46.8%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to end up with 53.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models often contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.