Crosstab model in Texas: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 46.2% for Clinton, and 53.8% for Trump in Texas. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 46.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, because they can incorporate substantial errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Texas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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