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Crosstab model in South Dakota: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 40.2% for Clinton, and 59.8% for Trump in South Dakota. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to end up with 40.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.9% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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