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Rhode Island: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 58.6% of the two-party vote share in Rhode Island, while Trump will end up with 41.4%. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was still predicted to garner 41.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, as they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 3.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Rhode Island.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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