The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 57.4% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will win 42.6%. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was still predicted to gain 42.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.