The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 51.2% for Clinton, and 48.8% for Trump in North Carolina. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was still predicted to garner 49.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 50.7% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.