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North Carolina: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 51.2% for Clinton, and 48.8% for Trump in North Carolina. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was still predicted to garner 49.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 50.7% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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