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New York: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 63.7% of the two-party vote share in New York, while Trump will win 36.3%. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was predicted to gain 36.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 63.3% of the two-party vote in New York. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New York.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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