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New Jersey: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 58.8% of the two-party vote share in New Jersey, whereas Trump will end up with 41.2%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 58.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often include substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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