Hit enter after type your search item

Crosstab model in New Hampshire: Clinton is in the lead

/
/
/
13 Views

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 54.7% of the two-party vote share in New Hampshire, whereas Trump will win 45.3%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to win only 54.1% of the vote.

In New Hampshire, the election outcome is usually close. This is why the state is commonly regarded as a swing state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, since they may include large biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in New Hampshire. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar