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Montana: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 40.9% for Clinton, and 59.1% for Trump in Montana. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to win only 40.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Montana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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