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Maine: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead


The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 56.4% for Clinton, and 43.6% for Trump in Maine. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to gain only 56.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 55.5% of the two-party vote in Maine. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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