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Hawaii: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 64.2% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will win 35.8%. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was still predicted to achieve 36.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 70.0% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 5.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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