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Connecticut: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 58.2% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will end up with 41.9%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 57.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can incorporate large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 60.0% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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