The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 48.6% of the two-party vote share in Arizona, while Trump will win 51.4%. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was predicted to obtain 51.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often incorporate large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data. The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 51.4% of the two-party vote in Arizona.