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Crosstab model in Alaska: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 43.0% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, while Trump will win 57.0%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to gain 43.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alaska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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