Alabama: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 40.0% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, whereas Trump will end up with 60.0%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to win only 39.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 59.1% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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