Connecticut: 15 points lead for Clinton in latest Emerson poll

Results of a new poll administered by Emerson were spread. The poll asked participants from Connecticut for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

Of those who responded, 50.0% said that they plan to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 35.0% declared that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 2 to September 5 among 1000 likely voters. The error margin is +/-3.0 points, which means that the poll results for the two candidates differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they can incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in figures of 58.8% for Clinton and 41.2% for Trump.

The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 59.9% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. This means that the PollyVote is 1.1 points above her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore in line with the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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