Crosstab model in Colorado: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 53.0% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, whereas Trump will end up with 47.0%. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was still predicted to win 47.1% of the vote.

Colorado is traditionally a battleground state, where the two major political parties have historically gained similar levels of support among voters. Hence, the election outcome here is considered crucial in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

Single models can include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 55.0% of the two-party vote in Colorado. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Colorado.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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