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Crosstab model in California: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 63.3% of the two-party vote share in California, while Trump will win 36.7%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 62.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 62.5% of the two-party vote in California. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in California.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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