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Crosstab model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 27.8% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, while Trump will win 72.2%. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to end up with 27.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 70.1% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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