Wisconsin: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead
The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 53.3% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, whereas Trump will win 46.7%. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to win 53.9% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.