Wisconsin: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 53.3% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, whereas Trump will win 46.7%. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to win 53.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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