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Vermont: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 71.2% for Clinton, and 28.8% for Trump in Vermont. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to win only 69.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 67.8% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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