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Trump leads in Tennessee by 11 points in new Vanderbilt University poll

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Vanderbilt University published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from Tennessee were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

Vanderbilt University poll results
33

Clinton

44

Trump

Of those who replied, 33.0% said that they plan to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 44.0% said that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out between September 19 and October 2. The sample size was 1000 registered voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.4 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they sometimes contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following analysis, we translate Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 42.9% for Clinton and 57.1% for Trump.

The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.9% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. Hence, Polly's forecast is 1.8 points above his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus within the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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