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South Dakota: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 40.5% of the two-party vote share in South Dakota, while Trump will end up with 59.5%. In comparison, on October 26, Clinton was predicted to end up with 41.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.2% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in South Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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